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Oil

Petrobras Posts Surprise Loss on Tax Deal, Keeps Dividend

(Bloomberg data)

(Bloomberg) -- Brazil’s state-controlled oil producer Petroleo Brasileiro SA surprised investors with a net loss of 2.6 billion reais ($470 million) mainly due to a tax settlement in the first results under Chief Executive Officer Magda Chambriard. 

Despite the loss, the company approved 13.6 billion reais ($2.45 billion) in second-quarter dividends. It compares to $2.7 billion expected by analysts, according to the average of seven forecasts reviewed by Bloomberg. Petrobras said it will use part of a capital reserve for extraordinary dividends that weren’t paid in 2023 to make the payment. 

Petrobras preferred shares fell as much as 3.5% in Sao Paulo Friday.

The payouts and a tax agreement that Petrobras announced in June will help the government, its biggest shareholder, shore up a fiscal deficit that has weighed on Brazilian financial markets. Rio de Janeiro-based Petrobras is under pressure to accelerate investments to help grow the economy while also making payouts to the government.

The first quarterly loss since 2020 was the result of the tax settlement and a weaker exchange rate, the company said. Petrobras was also selling fuel at a discount to international benchmarks under a policy to shield consumers from short-term volatility in oil markets. In July, the company raised gasoline prices for the first time in almost a year in response to higher oil prices. The move was interpreted as a sign that the new CEO is less vulnerable to political pressure than her predecessor. 

Petrobras reported adjusted earnings before items of 49.74 billion reais, compared to a 66.47 billion-real consensus of analysts tracked by Bloomberg. The company cited weaker margins on gasoline and diesel as well as imports for the decline. Petrobras’s quarterly oil output was impacted by scheduled maintenance shutdowns and natural declines at mature fields, partially offset by the ramp-up of new offshore units. 

Other oil majors reported mixed results in the quarter due to lower refining margins even though crude prices averaged about $85 a barrel from April through June. Chevron Corp. and TotalEnergies SE reported lower-than-expected profits, while Exxon Mobil Corp. beat estimates after a major acquisition boosted its production. 

Petrobras also reduced its estimate for 2024 capital expenditures for 2024 to $13.5 to $14.5 billion, it said Thursday in a statement. The revision still represent an increase of up to 15% from last year and won’t impact its production growth targets, it said. 

The oil giant held a call Thursday night with sell-side analysts after the results were announced, in part to address questions about using the capital reserve. Chief Financial Officer Fernando Melgarejo said the company is not ruling out extraordinary payouts and expects to make a decision in November after reviewing Petrobras’s strategic plan.

“They clarified that any potential extraordinary distribution will depend solely on management’s assessment of the NOC’s ability to finance its short- and medium-term plans, with no intention to maintain a suboptimal capital structure by hoarding excess cash,” BTG Pactual analysts led by Pedro Soares wrote in a note to clients.

Since taking over the oil giant in late May, Chambriard has made clear she’s aligned with President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s mission to deliver economic growth by boosting investments in refining, natural gas and fertilizers plants, while pledging to deliver robust profits and ensure good governance. 

“With good cash flow and low debt, we are investing in our production of oil, gas and derivatives, the replacement of reserves and the energy transition,” Chambriard said.

(Adds shares in the third paragraph and analysts comments in the ninth and 10th paragraphs.)

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