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Italy to Tap Banks, Insurers for €3.5 Billion in Budget Plan

Giorgia Meloni, Italy's prime minister, speaks during a joint news conference following her meeting with Olaf Scholz, Germany's chancellor, at the Chigi Palace in Rome, Italy, on Thursday, June 8, 2023. The Italian prime minister hosted Germany's chancellor for lunch in Rome on Thursday, and talks between the two leaders — who come from opposite sides of the political divide — focused on energy, migration, EU budget rules, and support for Ukraine as it fights Russia's invasion. (Alessia Pierdomenico/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s cabinet is tapping Italy’s banks and insurers to help finance €3.5 billion ($3.8 billion) of its budget, in a new plan designed to deliver on giveaways pledged to voters.

Most of the amount will be raised by postponing tax deductions due to banks, Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti told reporters in Rome on Wednesday. His deputy Maurizio Leo said the deferral will be for 2025 and 2026.

That move — anticipated ahead of the announcement — probably won’t impact lenders’ profitability in meaningful way, according to analysts, though Giorgetti called the measure “significant.”

“As we promised, there will be no new taxes for citizens,” Meloni said in a post on X on Tuesday. “€3.5 billion from banks and insurance companies will be allocated to healthcare and the most vulnerable.”

The budget was agreed by ministers at a gathering late on Tuesday, just in time to meet a deadline to submit the plan for European Union scrutiny. The measures still need to be submitted to parliament for signoff. 

The outcome, in a package with a gross value of €30 billion ($33 billion) for 2025, ends weeks of government agonizing over how to reconcile a vow to accelerate Italy’s deficit cutting with the political necessity of meeting expensive election promises.

Those pledges include a reduction in the tax wedge, or the difference between what workers cost employers and what gets paid out to them. Giorgetti said Tuesday that the measure will become permanent.

The government is also boosting spending on defense and healthcare and aid to low-income households and small businesses. 

The announcement crystallizes an aim of Giorgetti’s — a member of the League, which is a junior partner in the governing coalition — to deliver a budget reaping “sacrifices from everyone” with all parts of society helping out, as he described it this month in an interview with Bloomberg.

The financial-sector measures will work through the postponement of deferred tax assets. The government will freeze the absorption of state-guaranteed DTAs on past credit losses, IFRS9 and goodwill by delaying their deductibility for the next two years, and their recovery would be spread over a delayed period starting in 2027.

“This will have small impact on banks’ capital-development and will not have significant effect on profitability,” Azzurra Guelfi, an analyst at Citigroup Inc. wrote in a note. 

Bank shares were little changed in Milan trading on Wednesday. 

League chief Matteo Salvini, who also is a deputy prime minister, declared the hit on banks and insurers as a “victory” for his party, according to a post on X. 

By tapping banks, Giorgetti is revisiting a prior target for the government, which has singled them out repeatedly for gaining excessively from a high interest-rate environment.

In the first half, profit at Italy’s largest lender, Intesa Sanpaolo SpA, rose 13% from a year earlier. At UniCredit SpA, its next-biggest rival, it rose about 20%.

Past attempts to tax banks haven’t worked however. Last year, an unexpected proposal to do so flopped after a major selloff in Italian stocks. Giorgetti promised there would be no repeat of that mistake, and the Italian Banking Association has worked with government officials in recent weeks on a solution to contain any fallout. 

The approved “measure confirms no banking tax on extra profits, just as interest rates are starting their descent, but rather a liquidity measure, in line with the initial proposal made by the Italian banking association, which we would deem bearable for the sector,” said Mediobanca SpA’s analyst Andrea Filtri in a note.

Giorgetti is also drumming up more money by cutting expenses in public administration. 

The need to improve Italy’s finances took on more urgency ever since it was placed into a special monitoring regime by Brussels officials for running deficits far in excess of the EU’s 3%-of-output limit. 

In a bid to rebuild fiscal credibility, Giorgetti quickened the timetable for that, pledging to bring shortfalls to below that ceiling by 2026 and to start reducing its mammoth debt a year later.

So far, in contrast to the investor alarm surrounding France in recent weeks, Italy has managed to reassure financial markets. The spread between Italy’s 10-year bonds and those of Germany — a key measure of risk in the region — touched 123.6 basis points on Wednesday, the lowest since March. 

--With assistance from Jeff Black, Alberto Brambilla and Antonio Vanuzzo.

(Updates with finance minister starting in second paragraph.)

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