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Yellen Says Labor Market ‘Healthy,’ Amid Unemployment Rise

A restaurant worker prepares tables for outdoor dining in the East Village neighborhood of New York, US, on Saturday, Aug. 10, 2024. Initial applications for US unemployment benefits fell by the most in nearly a year, potentially alleviating some concerns that the labor market is cooling too fast following a disappointing jobs report earlier this month. (Yuki Iwamura/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the US job market remains healthy and touted “very solid” consumer and investment spending, even as recent data suggest some cooling is taking place.

“The job market has become less tight within the last year or so, but the unemployment rate we have today by historical standards would be considered very low,” Yellen told reporters in Raleigh, North Carolina, Thursday. “My judgment is that we have a good, healthy labor market where we continue to create jobs.”

She spoke hours after a private payroll survey showed US companies added the fewest jobs since the start of 2021 in August. In July, the unemployment rate reached 4.3%, up almost a percentage point from the level at the start of last year. US job openings in July also fell to their lowest since the start of 2021.

Those figures have fueled fears about a potential recession. Federal Reserve policymakers have made clear they’re not seeking further loosening in the job market, and are widely expected to start lowering interest rates at their next meeting, in two weeks.

Yellen, a former Fed chair, declined to comment on when the US central bank will lower rates, but noted that Chair Jerome Powell did say last month that the time has come to cut. She noted that, amid market expectations for Fed easing, mortgage rates have come down. She also said that they may have further to decline.

Political Battleground

After July’s disappointing jobs figures and a large downward revision to payrolls in the past year, Fed officials and market participants are paying close attention to the August employment data due Friday. Investors are keen to see whether the figures suggest that Powell and his colleagues might embrace a larger, 50-basis-point cut this month.

Companies are “a little less eager to hire” now, Yellen said at a Greater Raleigh Chamber of Commerce event Thursday. But she added that there’s still a “very strong pace of job creation — a pace that’s certainly sufficient to absorb all the new entrants into the labor market to keep the economy growing.”

The Treasury chief earlier highlighted the Biden administration’s investments in renewable energy in remarks during her North Carolina visit.

--With assistance from Viktoria Dendrinou.

(Adds comment from business roundtable event in penultimate paragraph.)

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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