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Gold Holds Gain as Rate-Cut Hopes Rise Before US Payrolls Data

Gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold headed for a weekly gain after US price data came in cooler than forecast, reinforcing expectations for multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next year. Photographer: Chalinee Thirasupa/Bloomberg (Chalinee Thirasupa/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Gold held its advance above $2,500 an ounce ahead of US economic data coming Friday that may prove key in shaping the Federal Reserve’s rate cut this month.

Bullion rose 0.8% Thursday following a report that showed US companies added the fewest jobs last month since the start of 2021. The figures were more evidence that the labor market is shifting into a lower gear, boosting chances the central bank’s expected pivot to monetary easing will be the first in a series of cuts.

A weak US payrolls report on Friday may help determine whether the Fed cuts by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting. Lower rates are typically positive for non-interest bearing gold, which has also been supported this week by a weaker dollar as the precious metal is priced in the US currency.

Bullion is up by more than 20% this year and peaked at a record $2,531.75 an ounce in August. Along with Fed rate-cut optimism, it’s been supported by strong over-the-counter purchases and haven demand due to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. 

Spot gold was little changed at $2,517.23 at 10:18 a.m. in London and is 0.6% higher for the week so far. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slipped 0.1% after two straight days of decline. Silver and palladium edged lower.

--With assistance from William Clowes.

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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