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Guyana Raises Growth Estimates to 43% as Oil Production Surges

Irfaan Ali, Guyana's president, during an interview at the State House in Georgetown, Guyana, on Wednesday, Jan. 24, 2024. The small nation's economy is the fastest-growing in the world, but the boon has stoked challenges from inflation and a growing wealth gap to the looming threat of conflict with Venezuela. Photographer: Jose A. Alvarado Jr./Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) -- President Irfaan Ali raised estimates for Guyana’s yearly growth to 42.8% from a prior 34.8%, as he projects “ramped up” investments from the public and private sectors.

The nation’s economy grew by 49.7% in the first half of 2024, with the oil sector accounting for 67% of that growth, Ali said Saturday on a live webcast. Guyana produced an estimated 113.5 million barrels of oil from January to June, and the oil sector is projected to grow by 56.4% this year, he added.

The world’s biggest oil discovery in a generation transformed Guyana from one of the lowest performing in the region to the fastest growing in the world for two years straight. The Caribbean nation is projected to pump more crude per person than Saudi Arabia or Kuwait by 2027 and is on track to overtake Venezuela as South America’s second-­largest oil producer, after Brazil.

During his remarks, Ali also said non-oil growth was 12.6% for the first six months of 2024. Cane sugar output slumped by 60% in the first half of the year due to a prolonged drought, Ali said. 

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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