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Bitcoin Rally Fizzles as Token’s Record-Breaking Year Winds Down

Colin Stewart, CEO and portfolio manager at JC Clark, says investors should stay alert when navigating bitcoin, the tech sector, and major U.S. corporations.

(Bloomberg) -- A Bitcoin rally is fizzling in the final days of a record-breaking year for the digital asset, as investors assess the remaining impetus from President-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of the cryptocurrency sector.

The largest token changed hands at $94,673 as of 11:38 a.m. Friday in New York, partly paring a retreat of almost 3% from a day earlier. Smaller rivals including Ether and Dogecoin, a favorite of the meme crowd, oscillated in tight ranges.

Trump is pushing ahead with a promise to create a crypto-friendly environment in the US and has backed the idea of establishing a national Bitcoin reserve. Traders are banking some of the profits sparked by the Republican’s crypto cheerleading and are waiting to see if the mooted reserve is feasible.

Options Expiry

The crypto market is also braced for the expiry of a substantial quantity of Bitcoin and Ether options contracts on Friday — one of the biggest such events in the history of digital assets, according to prime broker FalconX.

The notional value of the Bitcoin contracts on the Deribit exchange — one of the largest for digital-asset derivatives — exceeds $14 billion, while the equivalent figure for Ether is about $3.8 billion. 

Sean McNulty, director of trading at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets, flagged the risk of a “choppy market” amid the expiry of the derivatives positions.

MicroStrategy Plan

Bitcoin is wavering even after MicroStrategy Inc. this week signaled the possibility of expanding its program of purchases of the token. The company has transformed itself from a software maker into a Bitcoin accumulator and now owns more than $40 billion of the digital asset.

The original cryptocurrency is flirting with a drop for December, which would be its first monthly decline in four, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Bitcoin reached a record high of $108,316 on Dec. 17 before pulling back.

Investors withdrew a net $1.5 billion from a group of one dozen US spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the four trading days through Dec. 24, the heaviest such outflow since Trump’s victory in the US election on Nov. 5. However, the trend reversed on Thursday, with investors pouring $475 million into the group, ending the four-day streak. 

(Updates prices, ETF flows)

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