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Japan Lifts Asian Equities, Dollar Rally Cools: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Asian equities climbed, while the dollar and Treasuries steadied following big moves in the US session triggered by a paring back of Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. 

Japanese benchmarks gained about 0.8%, supported by weakness in the yen as the country’s economic growth slowed. South Korean shares fell, weighed down by battery makers on news that Donald Trump may eliminate a tax credit for electric vehicle purchases. US contracts slipped in early Asian trading.  

Shares in mainland China and Hong Kong opened lower. Chinese retail and industrial production data due soon will shed light on the impact of Beijing’s stimulus measures after data showed home prices fell at a slower pace in October.  

The dollar was little changed after rising for a fifth session on Thursday. The greenback received a boost from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments that the central bank will be in no rush to cut interest rates. US two-year yields spiked after the remarks and traders dialed back bets on a December rate reduction.    

“We think a December rate cut is in the cards and we think there will be at least two cuts next year,” Salman Niaz, head of global fixed income for APAC ex-Japan at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said on Bloomberg Television.

“The strength of the dollar has obviously taken away some of the returns from emerging markets local currency bonds, but we think the more attractive opportunity at this point is in the hard currency aspect of emerging markets,” Niaz said, referring to dollar-denominated debt.

Developing nations’ assets suffered this week amid developments on US President-elect Trump’s cabinet, shifting interest-rate forecasts and China’s economic uncertainties. A gauge of emerging markets equities is on pace for its worst week since June 2022, while a separate index of emerging markets currencies is set for its poorest showing since August last year. 

In Asia, South Korea’s won slipped 0.4% against the dollar on Friday after being added to the US Treasury’s “monitoring list” for foreign-exchange practices. Focus is also on Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s earnings later Friday after another Chinese consumption bellwether JD.com Inc posted a moderate expansion in revenue. 

Elsewhere, data set for release in the region includes gross-domestic product for Malaysia and Hong Kong, while trade numbers in Indonesia are expected. Markets are closed in India.

In commodities, oil headed for a weekly drop, weighed down by the impact of a stronger dollar and concerns the global market will flip to a glut next year. Gold held near a two-month low. 

Resilient Economy

Data earlier Thursday in the US showed producer prices exceeded consensus forecasts. Jobless claims were below expectations and touched the lowest level since May.  

Several policymakers have urged a cautious approach to further rate cuts in comments this week, in light of a strong economy, lingering inflation concerns and broad uncertainty. Their comments come at a time when the equity market is showing signs of fatigue following a post-election surge that spurred calls for a pause, with several measures highlighting “stretched” trader optimism.

In the US, the S&P 500 dropped 0.6%, while the Nasdaq 100 slipped 0.7%. Automakers like Tesla Inc. and Rivian Automotive Inc. slumped as Reuters reported US President-elect Trump plans to eliminate the $7,500 consumer tax credit for electric-vehicle purchases. Walt Disney Co. jumped on a profit beat. 

Key events this week:

  • China retail sales, industrial production, Friday
  • US retail sales, Empire manufacturing, industrial production, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • S&P 500 futures fell 0.4% as of 10:45 a.m. Tokyo time
  • Japan’s Topix rose 0.8%
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.4%
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.3%
  • The Shanghai Composite fell 0.4%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.4%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
  • The euro was little changed at $1.0531
  • The Japanese yen fell 0.2% to 156.62 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan was little changed at 7.2508 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin fell 0.2% to $88,001.43
  • Ether fell 1.6% to $3,068.68

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 4.46%
  • Japan’s 10-year yield advanced 1.5 basis points to 1.070%
  • Australia’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 4.65%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.5% to $68.34 a barrel
  • Spot gold was little changed

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.