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Economics

BoC expected to lower interest rates again, with odds leaning toward larger cut

As Canada reports a spike in unemployment, what could this mean for future rate cuts? President of recruiting firm Hays Travis O'Rourke shares his analysis.

Financial markets and forecasters are betting on another jumbo interest rate cut from the Bank of Canada this week.

Statistics Canada’s latest job report tilted expectations in favour of a larger cut.

The Friday report revealed the unemployment rate jumped to 6.8 per cent in November, up from 6.5 per cent a month earlier, as more people looked for work.

A half-percentage point interest rate reduction would bring the central bank’s key interest rate to 3.25 per cent.

The Bank of Canada reduced its key interest rate by half a percentage point in October in response to inflation returning to target, but signalled the size of the next rate decision would be data-dependent.

Canada’s inflation rate was two per cent in October.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Dec. 9, 2024.