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Commercial Real Estate Outlook Will Improve in 2025, MetLife Says

Workers at an Amazon office in Bellevue, Washington, US, on Thursday, July 18, 2024. Deep divides in US cities leave troubled economies in downtown areas. Photographer: Grant Hindsley/Bloomberg (Grant Hindsley/Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- MetLife Inc. Chief Financial Officer John McCallion sees a positive outlook for commercial real estate in 2025 amid improving returns from related funds as well as supportive economic conditions.

The combination of healthy economic growth, potentially declining interest rates and stronger transaction activity indicates that the real estate sector, excluding office, has hit its trough, McCallion said in a call with analysts Thursday. MetLife sold five properties in the third quarter, reaping gains of $120 million to $150 million, he said.

“Overall there is a positive backdrop that’s starting to emerge,” McCallion said. “We’re not going to see kind of a V-shaped recovery per se, but it’s certainly setting up for a more positive 2025 environment.”

Real estate and other funds’ returns improved in the third quarter, Chief Executive Officer Michel Khalaf said on the same call. Still, the insurer’s private equity investments provided lower-than-anticipated returns, weighing on its variable investment income for the period. 

MetLife shares fell 6.9% to $77.42 at 10:49 a.m. in New York on Thursday.

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