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European Auto Stocks Extend Slump as BMW Cuts 2024 Outlook

(Bloomberg)

(Bloomberg) -- Shares in European automakers extended their 2024 decline after one of the sector’s biggest companies, BMW, cut its outlook for the year due to component supply issues.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts dropped 3.2% at 2:11 p.m. in Frankfurt, bringing its year-to-date loss to 11% — the second worst-performing sector in the wider regional benchmark, which has gained 6.5% in 2024.

It’s been a tough year for autos stocks as the industry struggles with sluggish overall demand, particularly in the key Chinese market, as well as slumping sales for electric vehicles. A trade spat between China and the European Union as well as stricter EU auto-emissions limits for 2025 that could lead to billions in fines for automakers are adding to the sector’s woes.

Morgan Stanley analyst Javier Martinez de Olcoz Cerdan said BMW’s outlook cut is a “significant rebasing” and will result in cuts of about a quarter to 2024 consensus Ebit estimates.

The carmaker attributed the downgrade mainly to faulty components that prompted a recall of 1.5 million vehicles. Its shares fell as much as 9.6%, extending their year-to-date drop to 30%.

Parts and tire supplier Continental AG said its braking system was behind the recall, and saw its shares fall as much as 10%, the steepest intraday slide since March 2020.

BMW’s update may be a portent of more guidance cuts to come, according to RBC analyst Tom Narayan. In a note, Narayan said price normalization “remains a headwind for the industry” and that he “would not be surprised” if more manufacturers issued warnings.

--With assistance from James Cone.

(Adds analyst commentary in third, sixth paragraph.)

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.